China's Silicone Industry: A Future Driven by High-End and Green Development
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I. Exploding Demand in Emerging Industries, High-End Materials Become a Growth Engine
The rise of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, 5G communications, and semiconductors is reshaping the demand structure for silicones. By 2024, demand for photovoltaic module encapsulant adhesives will surge by 500,000 tons, demand for new energy vehicle-related materials will grow by over 40%, and demand for 5G base station heat dissipation materials will increase by an average of 15% annually. In the semiconductor packaging field, domestic companies have achieved breakthroughs in key technologies such as high-thermal conductivity silicone and low-stress encapsulant adhesives. The import substitution rate will reach 65% in 2024, driving a 5-8 percentage point increase in the industry's gross profit margin. The demand for functional materials such as thermal grease and optical-grade silicone is expected to jump from 12% in 2024 to 25% in 2025, becoming a core driver of industry growth.
II. Accelerating Green Transformation, Technological Iteration Reshapes the Industry Ecosystem
The "Dual Carbon" goals are forcing the industry to transition towards low-carbon and circular development. By 2024, the industry's average energy consumption will have decreased by 35% compared to 2015, the comprehensive utilization rate of by-products will have increased to 98%, and a green manufacturing system will have taken shape. Leading companies will reduce carbon emissions per unit of product by 40% through an integrated "coal-electricity-silicon" model. For example, the circular economy industrial park at Hesheng Silicon's Xinjiang base achieves cascaded energy utilization for industrial silicon, organosilicon monomers, and polysilicon. Intelligent production is becoming a new trend. Dongyue Silicon Materials has shortened its new product development cycle by 40% using digital twin technology, and Xingfa Group has increased its high-end product success rate to 85% using an AI-powered molecular design platform.
III. Deepening Globalization and Industrial Chain Collaboration Enhance Competitiveness
Faced with the pressure of overcapacity in the mid- and low-end domestic market, companies are accelerating their overseas market expansion. In 2024, China's organosilicon exports will increase by 34% year-on-year, with exports to Belt and Road countries accounting for 38% and projected to exceed 45% by 2025. The recovery of infrastructure construction in Southeast Asia and the rise of electronics manufacturing in India are creating new demand. For example, the silicone oil production base established by Luxi Chemical in Vietnam has already captured a 30% share of the local building sealant market. At the same time, industry concentration continued to increase, with CR7 reaching 80%. Leading companies expanded their scale through mergers and acquisitions, such as Xin'an Shares' acquisition of South Korea's SK Group's silane business to improve its global industrial chain layout.